Climate change is predicted to have significant impacts on environmental resources in Tanzania. Food production, water and health will all be affected. Certain groups will be more vulnerable to these impacts than others. National adaptation plans and policies will need to prioritise the needs of these groups.

Many Tanzanians depend on the natural environment for their subsistence and income, such as forests which provide timber, non-timber forest products and charcoal. These resources may be impacted by climate change. Furthermore, low levels of health, nutrition, education and skills combine with low incomes and limited access to markets and technological alternatives to make poor people vulnerable to climate change.

Poor people in rural areas are already more vulnerable than their urban counterparts to shocks such as droughts, and are likely to be more affected by climate change. Women, children and pastoralists are also particularly at risk.

The Strategic Assessment of Equity and Justice in Adaptation to Climate Change, from the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of East Anglia in the UK, looked at what would help to make national adaptation plans and policies fair. Its key conclusion is that a fair process of adapting to climate change needs to prioritise groups that are particularly vulnerable.

The measures to help nations and people adapt to climate change are complex. Many overlapping factors affect the impacts change will have, as well as how people can adapt to them. In Tanzania, there are several predicted impacts:

• Increased droughts and flooding will decrease food production and access to clean water, and impair health.
• People will have to rely on coping mechanisms because of climate change impacts. For example, the use of forest resources for income may increase, pastoralists may migrate further and break up their households, and more children may be sent to work.
• These coping mechanisms will be used more as climate variability increases. This will have environmental impacts, such as deforestation and soil erosion, but will also have social impacts, such as children missing out on education.

Climate change will increase the pressure on vulnerable groups in Tanzania. Women, children, pastoralists and rural dwellers will find their coping mechanisms stretched to the limit. Nutrition, health, education and the environment can suffer as a result. Fair adaptation means addressing the causes of vulnerability, not just its symptoms:

• The environmental resources that vulnerable people rely on must be maintained. The government of Tanzania does not have the capacity to manage resources such as water and forests centrally. It should involve local people, civil society groups and local government in co-managing environmental resources.
• To improve incomes and decrease the risks associated with subsistence living, people need better access to markets. This requires better communications and transport, as well as improved, corruption-free institutions.
• Improved health and education must support these other measures if vulnerable groups are to have a fair chance at participating in markets and adapting to climate change.

Source(s):
‘Justice in Adaptation to Climate Change in Tanzania’ by Jouni Paavola, in ‘Fairness in Adaptation to Climate Change’ pages 201-222, The MIT Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts, edited by W. Neil Adger, Jouni Paavola, Saleemul Huq and M.J. Mace, 2006

Funded by: UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC); Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research

id21 Research Highlight: 12 June 2007

Further Information:
Jouni Paavola
Sustainability Research Institute
School of Earth and Environment
University of Leeds
Leeds, LS2 9JT
UK

Tel: + 44 (0)113 3436461
Fax: + 44 (0)113 3436716
Contact the contributor: j.paavola@see.leeds.ac.uk

Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK

University of East Anglia, UK

Other related links:
id21 insights 53 'Securing development in the face of climate change'

'The challenge of adapting to climate change in developing countries'

'Adapting to climate change – how do poor people cope?'

'Adapting to climate change in Latin America and the Caribbean'

'Changing farming systems to adapt to climate change in Senegal'